

2. Compute P (A|B), if P (B) = 0.5 and P (A ∩ B) = 0.32
Solution:
3. If P (A) = 0.8, P (B) = 0.5 and P (B|A) = 0.4, find
(i) P (A ∩ B)
(ii) P (A|B)
(iii) P (A
∪
B)
Solution:
4. Evaluate P (A
∪
B), if 2P (A) = P (B) = 5/13 and P (A|B) = 2/5.
Solution:
5. If P (A) = 6/11, P (B) = 5/11 and P (A
∪
B) = 7/11, find
(i) P (A∩B)
(ii) P (A|B)
(iii) P (B|A)
Solution:
Determine P (E|F) in Exercises 6 to 9.
6. A coin is tossed three times, where
(i) E : head on the third toss, F : heads on first two tosses
(ii) E : at least two heads, F : at most two heads
(iii) E : at most two tails, F : at least one tail
Solution:
(ii)
Here, E: no tail appears
And F: no head appears
⇒
E = {HH} and F = {TT}
⇒
E ∩ F = ϕ
8. A die is thrown three times, E: 4 appears on the third toss, F: 6 and 5 appear, respectively, on the first two tosses.
Solution:
9. Mother, father and son line up at random for a family picture
E: son on one end, F: father in the middle.
Solution:
Let M denotes mother, F denotes father, and S denotes son.
Then, the sample space for the given experiment will be
S = {MFS, SFM, FSM, MSF, SMF, FMS}
Here, E: Son on one end
And F: Father in the middle
⇒
E = {MFS, SFM, SMF, FMS} and F = {MFS, SFM}
⇒
E ∩ F = {MFS, SFM}
10. A black and a red dice are rolled.
(a) Find the conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given that the black die resulted in a 5.
(b) Find the conditional probability of obtaining the sum 8, given that the red die resulted in a number less than 4.
Solution:
11. A fair die is rolled. Consider events E = {1,3,5}, F = {2,3} and G = {2,3,4,5}
Find
(i) P (E|F) and P (F|E)
(ii) P (E|G) and P (G|E)
(iii) P ((E
∪
F)|G) and P ((E ∩ F)|G)
Solution:
12. Assume that each born child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. If a family has two children, what is the conditional probability that both are girls given that (i) the youngest is a girl, (ii) at least one is a girl?
Solution:
Let B denote boy and G denote girl.
Then, the sample space of the given experiment is S = {GG, GB, BG, BB}
Let E be the event that ‘both are girls’.
Exercise 13.2 Page No: 546
1. If P (A) = 3/5 and P (B) = 1/5, find P (A ∩ B) if A and B are independent events.
Solution:
Given P (A) = 3/5 and P (B) = 1/5
As A and B are independent events.
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = P (A).P (B)
= 3/5 × 1/5 = 3/25
2. Two cards are drawn at random and without replacement from a pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability that both the cards are black.
Solution:
Given, a pack of 52 cards.
As we know, there are 26 cards in total, which are black. Let A and B denote, respectively, the events that the first and second drawn cards are black.
Now, P (A) = P (black card in first draw) = 26/52 = ½
Because the second card is drawn without replacement, now the total number of black cards will be 25, and the total number of cards will be 51, which is the conditional probability of B, given that A has already occurred.
Now, P (B/A) = P (black card in second draw) = 25/51
Thus, the probability that both cards are black
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = ½ × 25/51 = 25/102
Hence, the probability that both the cards are black = 25/102
3. A box of oranges is inspected by examining three randomly selected oranges drawn without replacement. If all three oranges are good, the box is approved for sale, otherwise, it is rejected. Find the probability that a box containing 15 oranges, out of which 12 are good, and 3 are bad ones will be approved for sale.
Solution:
Given, a box of oranges.
Let A, B and C denotes the events, respectively, that the first, second and third drawn orange is good.
Now, P (A) = P (good orange in first draw) = 12/15
Because the second orange is drawn without replacement, now the total number of good oranges will be 11, and the total number of oranges will be 14, which is the conditional probability of B, given that A has already occurred.
Now, P (B/A) = P (good orange in second draw) = 11/14
Because the third orange is drawn without replacement, now the total number of good oranges will be 10, and the total oranges will be 13, which is the conditional probability of C, given that A and B have already occurred.
Now, P (C/AB) = P (good orange in third draw) = 10/13
Thus, the probability that all the oranges are good
⇒
P (A ∩ B ∩ C) = 12/15 × 11/14 × 10/13 = 44/91
Hence, the probability that a box will be approved for sale = 44/91
4. A fair coin and an unbiased die are tossed. Let A be the event ‘head appears on the coin’ and B be the event ‘3 on the die’. Check whether A and B are independent events or not.
Solution:
Given, a fair coin and an unbiased die are tossed.
We know that the sample space S.
S = {(H,1), (H,2), (H,3), (H,4), (H,5), (H,6), (T,1), (T,2), (T,3), (T,4), (T,5), (T,6)}
Let A be the event head that appears on the coin.
⇒
A = {(H, 1), (H, 2), (H, 3), (H, 4), (H, 5), (H, 6)}
⇒
P (A) = 6/12 = ½
Now, Let B be the event 3 on the die.
⇒
B = {(H, 3), (T, 3)}
⇒
P (B) = 2/12 = 1/6
As, A ∩ B = {(H, 3)}
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = 1/12 …… (1)
And P (A). P (B) = ½ × 1/6 = 1/12 …… (2)
From (1) and (2) P (A ∩ B) = P (A). P (B)
Therefore, A and B are independent events.
5. A die marked 1, 2, 3 in red and 4, 5, 6 in green is tossed. Let A be the event, ‘the number is even’, and B be the event, ‘the number is red’. Are A and B independent?
Solution:
The sample space for the dice will be
S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
Let A be the event, and the number is even.
⇒
A = {2, 4, 6}
⇒
P (A) = 3/6 = ½
Now, let B be the event, and the number is red.
⇒
B = {1, 2, 3}
⇒
P (B) = 3/6 = 1/2
As, A ∩ B = {2}
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = 1/6 …….. (1)
And P (A). P (B) = ½ × ½ = ¼ ….. (2)
From (1) and (2) P (A ∩ B) ≠ P (A). P (B)
Therefore, A and B are not independent events.
6. Let E and F be events with P (E) = 3/5, P (F) = 3/10 and P (E ∩ F) = 1/5. Are E and F independent?
Solution:
Given P (E) = 3/5, P (F) = 3/10 and P (E ∩ F) = 1/5
P (E). P (F) = 3/5 × 3/10 = 9/50 ≠ 1/5
⇒
P (E ∩ F) ≠ P (E). P (F)
Therefore, E and F are not independent events.
7. Given that the events A and B are such that P (A) = 1/2, P (A
∪
B) = 3/5 and P (B) = p. Find p if they are (i) mutually exclusive (ii) independent.
Solution:
Given, P (A) = ½, P (A
∪
B) = 1/5 and P (B) = p
(i) Mutually exclusive
When A and B are mutually exclusive.
Then, (A ∩ B) = ϕ
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = 0
As we know, P (A
∪
B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A ∩ B)
⇒
3/5 = ½ + p -0
⇒
P = 3/5 – ½ = 1/10
(ii)
Independent
When A and B are independent.
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = P (A). P (B)
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = ½ p
As we know, P (A
∪
B) = P (A) + P (B) – P (A ∩ B)
⇒
3/5 = ½ + 2 – p/2
⇒
p/2 = 3/5 – ½
⇒
p = 2 × 1/10 = 1/5
8. If A and B are two events such that P (A) = 1/4 , P (B) = 1/2 and P (A ∩ B) = 1/8, find P (not A and not B).
Solution:
Given P (A) = ¼, P (B) = ½ and P (A ∩ B) = 1/8
P (not A and not B) = P (A
’
∩ B
’
)
As, { A
’
∩ B
’
= (A
∪
B)
’
}
⇒
P (not A and not B) = P ((A
∪
B)
’
)
= 1 – P (A
∪
B)
= 1- [P (A) + P (B) – P (A ∩ B)]
9. Events A and B are such that P (A) = 1/2, P (B) = 7/12 and P (not A or not B) = 1/4. State whether A and B are independent.
Solution:
Given P (A) = ½, P (B) =7/12 and P (not A or not B) = 1/4
⇒
P (A
’
∪
B
’
) = 1/4
⇒
P (A ∩ B)
’
= 1/4
⇒
1 – P (A ∩ B) = 1/4
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = 1 – 1/4
⇒
P (A ∩ B) = 3/4…….. (1)
And P (A). P (B) = ½ × 7/12 = 7/24 …. (2)
From (1) and (2) P (A ∩ B) ≠ P (A). P (B)
Therefore, A and B are not independent events.
13.1 Introduction
13.2 Conditional Probability
13.2.1 Properties of Conditional Probability
13.3 Multiplication Theorem on Probability
13.4 Independent Events
13.5 Bayes’ Theorem
13.5.1 Partition of a Sample Space
13.5.2 Theorem of Total Probability
13.6 Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions
13.6.1 Probability Distribution of a Random Variable
13.6.2 Mean of a Random Variable
13.6.3 Variance of a Random Variable
13.7 Bernoulli Trials and Binomial Distribution
13.7.1 Bernoulli Trials
13.7.2 Binomial Distribution
The chapter on Probability is an entire unit, Unit 6—Probability carrying 8 marks of the total of 80 marks. To help students understand the concept of Probability thoroughly, this chapter includes 2 exercises as well as miscellaneous exercises. 1. 0 ≤ P (E|F) ≤ 1, P (E′|F) = 1 – P (E|F)P ((E ∪ F)|G) = P (E|G) + P (F|G) – P ((E ∩ F)|G) 2. P (E ∩ F) = P (E) P (F|E), P (E) ≠ 0P (E ∩ F) = P (F) P (E|F), P (F) ≠ 0 3. If E and F are independent, then P (E ∩ F) = P (E) P (F)P (E|F) = P (E), P (F) ≠ 0P (F|E) = P (F), P(E) ≠ 0 4. The theorem of total probability 5. Bayes’ theorem 6. A random variable is a real-valued function whose domain is the sample space of a random experiment. 7. Var (X) = E (X 2 ) – [E(X)] 2 8. Trials of a random experiment are called Bernoulli trials if they satisfy the following conditions :